Follow @syymmetries
Showing posts with label naturalness. Show all posts
Showing posts with label naturalness. Show all posts

Friday, 25 September 2015

Friday wrap-up: Nima, weakly coupled high-scale physics...

Wherein I list some (mostly) recent happenings, ramble a bit, and provide links, in an order roughly determined by importance and relevance to particle physics. Views are my own. Content very definitely skewed by my own leanings and by papers getting coverage, and it may not even be correct. It is a blog after all...

  • There is an article at Quanta Magazine constructed around a profile of Nima Arkani-Hamed that is well worth a read. It includes his (and others') visions of and predictions for the future of high-energy physics, and the important role the Chinese might play in constructing a 100 TeV collider.
  • A few things wrapped up for me this week...

    (1) Uploaded to the arXiv v2 of a paper on displaced Higgs decays (see blog from back in June). In particular, the new version has the plots updated and include some recent results. Besides the scientific content, at the very least they are pleasing to the eye (well at least to mine)! I find this kind of phenomenology very interesting, and there is certainly more to be said in conversation between phenomenologists and experimentalists on where to search and how to present results for displaced physics.


    (2) Uploaded to the arXiv a conference proceedings (PLANCK) summarising two recent papers: "How to avoid unnatural hierarchical thermal leptogenesis." If you'd like to know why explaining baryogenesis and neutrino masses with the minimal three-flavour Type I seesaw and hierarchical leptogenesis is necessarily unnatural, and the various ways around it, this document should serve as a good summary. Or see the blog post from May for an even shorter summary. The second part of the proceedings describes a two-Higgs-doublet model with right-handed neutrinos (ν2HDM) which can achieve hierarchical leptogenesis and realise the neutrino masses without introducing a naturalness problem. This model serves as the basis for the following...

    (3) Uploaded an arXiv preprint titled: "νDFSZ: a technically natural non-supersymmetric model of neutrino masses, baryogenesis, the strong CP problem, and dark matter." It is a rather short paper which contains an existence proof that weakly coupled high-scale physics can explain phenomenological shortcomings of the SM without introducing a naturalness problem. The model adds only three right-handed neutrinos, a scalar doublet, and a scalar singlet to the SM. It contains a hierarchy of scales up to $\sim 10^{11}\text{ GeV}$. Nevertheless, corrections to the Higgs mass (and other mass scales) can be calculated, and it is shown that a technically natural decoupling limit of the model can protect all scales from large quantum corrections. If this is surprising in any way for you, since it is (or at least appears to be) a widely held misconception that high-scale physics implies a naturalness problem, then I suggest you read our preprint, or this earlier blog post! Let's be clear here: the model does not solve the big hierarchy problem; we don't explain where the hierarchy of scales comes from, we just show that the hierarchy we introduce is not fine-tuned (that is the real worry), i.e. it is a radiatively stable hierarchy, or, it is "technically natural".

    I find it extremely interesting that the major shortcomings of the standard model can be answered naturally in such a modest extension of the SM. Models like this with weakly coupled high-scale physics, in my opinion, deserve more attention.
    • The Taller de Altas Energías 2015 School is currently ongoing (programme here).
      • Links without (too many) thinks:
        • Life and Physics from Jon Butterworth: "How the Higgs boson is born and how it dies: the most precise picture so far."
        • ATLAS Blogs: Part 2 of James Howarth's TOP2015 review.
        • The Conversation: "How we plan to bring dark matter to light," with a little on SUPL and SABRE.
        • Cosmos: "Ghost traps: the hunt for dark matter," interesting to read if only to observe how the field's "dark matter = WIMP" prejudice leads to misleading (even incorrect) statements in lay articles...
      • In video/audio media:
        • In Particular Ep 3: Particle Zoo... what is your favourite particle? [35:15]
        • CERN: Timelapse video of the CERN Axion Solar Telescope (CAST) following the Sun [1:22], and a bit of noise rock in situ; Deerhoof vs. the Large Hadron Collider [9:05].
        • Waking Up with Sam Harris: The Multiverse & You (& You & You & You…), A Conversation with Max Tegmark. [1:26:42]
        • MinutePhysics: Why do we put telescopes in space? [2:20]
        • It's Okay to be Smart: Theory vs. Hypothesis vs. Law... Explained! [7:11]
        • Numberphile: Philosophy of Numbers. [9:40]

      Saturday, 12 September 2015

      Friday wrap-up: XMASS, multi-component dark matter...

      Wherein I list some (mostly) recent happenings, ramble a bit, and provide links, in an order roughly determined by importance and relevance to particle physics. Views are my own. Content very definitely skewed by my own leanings and by papers getting coverage, and it may not even be correct. It is a blog after all...

      • The XIV International Conference on Topics in Astroparticle and Underground Physics (TAUP 2015) conference has been happening this week (hashtag here). The plenary talks are available but unfortunately a very many interesting parallel sessions are inaccessible...
      • One of those parallel sessions included a preliminary new result of the search for an annual modulation signal at XMASS. A summary and some plots can be found in this document [pdf]. They see "a weak modulation effect" which they say can be explained by a modest fluctuation background fluctuation, i.e., not significant results. Such are the difficulties in searching for annual modulation in only ~1.5yrs of data. No quote of the phase, but the fit for the modulation in their Figure 1 (below) has a negative amplitude, which might suggest that the best fit phase is ~6 months displaced from the standard halo model maximum in June... anyone have more information?


      • Robert Foot here in Melbourne maintains that it is still possible that dark matter could be the explanation for annual modulation signals seen by DAMA/LIBRA, CoGeNT, and recently by XENON100 (and now perhaps XMASS?). He posted to the arXiv last week outlining a scenario...

        The possible explanation is predicated on a dark matter halo made up of a pressure supported multi-component self-interacting plasma. Considering the mirror dark matter model for definiteness, the halo is mostly made up of dark electrons and dark He ions. There is a (massless) dark photon which mixes with the SM photon, imbuing the dark matter with dark charge and SM nanocharge. Far from the Earth the plasma is in thermal equilibrium; turns out this naively implies a ~100 times larger flux of dark electrons incident on the Earth than dark He. However, dark matter will be captured within the Earth, and by contradiction one can argue that dark electromagnetic fields must arise to equilibrate the (charge weighted) flux of dark electrons and dark He. The flux of the dark electrons on the Earth's surface, which can be possibly detected in direct detection experiments via single electron scattering, then depends on the details of these dark fields, which are assumed to arise from bulk movement of the charged dark matter on/near the surface of the captured dark matter sphere. Since the flux annually modulates due to the motion of the Earth relative to the halo, then so will these dark fields, and so will the electron flux incident on the Earth's surface. Needless to say, determining the flux is a very thorny dynamical problem... the preprint presents a "somewhat primitive" analysis to show in principal that such physics can give a large annual modulation fraction (which is a function of latitude). The "smoking gun" (and the make-or-break) for this scenario is a large diurnal (daily) modulation.

        This just goes to highlight the obvious fact that direct detection results are not as simple as comparing exclusion curves in spin-independent nucleon scattering cross section versus mass.
      • Further on the direct detection front, Lateral Mag have a story on the dark matter direct detection project getting underway here in Australia, in the Stawell Underground Physics Laboratory (SUPL). Funding for the lab has been obtained, and construction should start early next year!
      • On this blog:
        • I have updated my thoughts on the hierarchy/naturalness problem from a month ago. I wanted to distinguish between a hierarchy problem and a naturalness problem; it is my opinion that these terms are used too loosely in modern hep parlance (and perhaps people have different definitions anyway), and this causes confusion (especially from the point of view of an impressionable PhD student). So...

          At least to me, the following definitions make sense: a hierarchy problem is an unexplained hierarchy of scales within a model, and; a naturalness problem (for a mass parameter) arises when a scale receives very large and physically meaningful quantum corrections. The SM+gravity suffers a hierarchy problem by definition, but it is not clear to me that this implies a naturalness problem for the electroweak scale. That is what I blogged about a month ago. Actually, taken this way, minimal supersymmetry alone doesn't solve the hierarchy problem (i.e. it has a mu problem). Nevertheless (and if it arises at the TeV scale) supersymmetry ensures that the electroweak scale does not have a naturalness problem whatever the theory of gravity, and whatever scales are introduced in between (such as a GUT scale), which is in my opinion a very nice property and an admirable achievement for such models.
        • Playing with google charts recently I added a geomap and new/returning pageview charts using google analytics tracking, the google analytics superproxy, and a little javascript withquerying. They're a little messy right now but the information is there; the blog is getting >500 views a week now, so thanks for reading!
      • News from space...
        • A detailed image of the bright spot on Ceres...


        • ... and incredible new images of Pluto and Charon!


      Friday, 7 August 2015

      Friday wrap-up: normal ordering, hierarchy problem...

      Wherein I list some (mostly) recent happenings, ramble a bit, and provide links, in an order roughly determined by importance and relevance to particle physics. Views are my own. Content very definitely skewed by my own leanings and by papers getting coverage, and it may not even be correct. It is a blog after all...

      • First point for today is hot off the press! The long baseline NOvA experiment has released a preliminary analysis of $\nu_e$ appearance in their beam. They exclude inverted ordering at >2σ, preferring normal ordering with $\delta_{CP}\approx 3\pi/2$! Slides here [pdf].


      • Quite a few conferences recently: Second Conference on Heavy Ion Collisions in the LHC era and beyond (indico/hashtag), 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference (indico/hashtag), and the 2015 Meeting of the APS Division of Particles and Fields (indico/hashtag) which is still going.
      • In video/audio media:
      • Here is a view from NASA's DSCOVR satellite (floating at the Lagrange point between the Sun and Earth) of the sunlit "dark side" of the moon.


      Now something a little different...

      [Note: some edits on 11th September to distinguish between a hierarchy problem and a naturalness problem].

      I have been thinking a lot about the hierarchy problem and Higgs mass naturalness over this year. I have come to the (controversial?) conclusion that the standard model with gravity does not obviously suffer from a naturalness problem. For my own benefit this week I wanted to jot down my thoughts, and also decided to share, as it seems to me to somehow be a widely misunderstood subject... [caveats from first paragraph still hold! and discussion/comments are welcome]...

      The standard model Higgs potential is$$V_{SM} = \mu^2 \phi^\dagger \phi + \lambda (\phi^\dagger\phi)^2 .$$Since 2012, we have known that $\mu^2 \approx - (88\text{ GeV})^2$ (at low energies). I take the hierarchy problem to be: why is $\mu^2$ so small compared to $M_{Pl}\sim 10^{19}\text{ GeV}$? I take a naturalness problem as: $\mu^2$ is sensitive to very large ($\gtrsim (1\text{ TeV})^2$) and physically meaningful quantum corrections. But let's first consider the standard model without gravity...

      Like all bare parameters in a quantum field theory, the unmeasurable bare parameter $\mu^2$ must be connected to a measurable friend, say $\mu^2(m_Z)$. We do this by renormalising the theory, i.e. we calculate quantum corrections, cancel them off with the bare parameter, and connect what we have left to some observable. In a cutoff regularisation scheme, the dominant one-loop quantum correction to $\mu^2$ comes from the top quark and goes something like$$\delta\mu^2 \sim \frac{1}{(4\pi)^2} y_t^2 \left( \Lambda^2 + ...\right),$$where $\Lambda$ is a cutoff renormalisation scale. Renormalisation demands that this potentially large quantum contribution be cancelled off with the bare parameter in order to arrive at an electroweak scale $\mu^2(m_Z)$. One might worry about these "unnaturally" large cancellations. However, in the standard model without gravity this scale is completely arbitrary... it is unphysical! We should assign no physical significance to a large cancellation between an unmeasurable bare parameter and an unphysical cutoff -- this much we should have learned when we studied renormalisation. We don't have to worry about quadratic corrections to $\mu^2$ that are $\propto \Lambda^2$, in short since the standard model without gravity has only one explicit scale, so how can $\mu^2$ be corrected by anything other than $\mu^2$ itself? [Note: scale invariance is broken by quantum corrections and so this argument doesn't extend to dynamical scales: a little more later].

      So what is physical? What exactly is the effect of the top quark on $\mu^2$? For me this becomes more clear in a dimensional regularisation scheme. The one-loop quantum correction to $\mu^2$ will go something like$$\delta\mu^2 \sim \frac{1}{(4\pi)^2}y_t^2\mu^2\left(\frac{1}{\epsilon}+ \text{ finite terms} +\ln\mu_R \right)$$where $\mu_R$ is a renormalisation scale and we take the limit $\epsilon\to 0$. The divergent term $\propto 1/\epsilon$ and the finite terms can be cancelled against a counterterm in the bare parameter. This is another way of saying they are unphysical. However, the term $\propto \ln\mu_R$ cannot be always absorbed and has an observable effect. Any observable must not depend on $\mu_R$, and (in a mass-independent renormalisation scheme) the counterterm must also be independent of $\mu_R$. After a little algebra this ends up implying that the $\mu^2$ parameter depends on the scale at which it is measured, $\mu^2=\mu^2(\mu_R)$, a familiar result of renormalisation in quantum field theories (see e.g. the 2004 Nobel Prize in Physics). In the standard model the top quark contribution turns out to be$$\frac{d\mu^2}{d\ln\mu_R}\approx\frac{1}{(4\pi)^2}6y_t^2\mu^2.$$This is called the renormalisation group equation (RGE) for $\mu^2$. You can see it's $\propto \mu^2$, which is just another way of saying that the standard model without gravity has only one explicit scale. The only physical (and in-principle measurable) effect of the top quark on the $\mu^2$ parameter is to make it run with energy. And it doesn't run much! You can easily calculate that $\mu^2$ remains $\mathcal{O}(\mu^2)$ even up to a scale $\mu_R\sim 10^{19}\text{ GeV}$. That means that a small change in $\mu^2$ at some high scale results also in a corresponding small change in $\mu^2$ at a low scale, which is exactly the Barbieri-Giudice style fine-tuning requirement for a natural theory.

      I like this RGE formulation of the hierarchy problem because it is physical: it is phrased in terms of an in-principle measurable parameter $\mu^2(\mu_R)$ and a quantifiable fine-tuning of that parameter at a high scale. If any perturbative new physics is added to the standard model one can just calculate its effect on the $\mu^2$ RGE and see if it results in fine-tuning at a high scale. In this sort of approach the requirement for a natural electroweak scale is just that $\frac{d\mu^2}{d\ln\mu_R} \lesssim (100\text{ GeV})^2$.

      So in particular, and this is a fallacy I hear a lot, in the standard model without gravity there are no top quark loop divergences that must be cancelled with new particles -- that has already been achieved for you with renormalisation.

      I am not positive why this top loop quadratic divergence argument has gained traction, but I think the following is a reasonable possibility. In a generic new physics model, one fear is that the top quark, being strongly coupled to the Higgs, might also strongly couple to some other (higher) scale, and "transmit" that scale to $\mu^2$, i.e. one fears a quantum correction to $\mu^2$ that is $\propto y_t^2M_{NP}^2$. One would not have to worry if there was a new particle(s) which by some symmetry transmits an equal and opposite contribution to $\delta\mu^2$, such that they cancel. This is achieved in supersymmetry (SUSY) by the stop $\tilde{t}$. In dimensional regularisation the stop will give a $\delta\mu^2$ contribution which differs from the top contribution only by a negative sign and a factor $m_\tilde{t}^2/m_t^2$; they exactly cancel if $m_{\tilde{t}}=m_t$. But the fact that the divergent terms (to be associated with the quadratic divergences) cancel is beside the point, since they are unphysical anyway. What matters is the contribution to the $\mu^2$ RGE, and at one-loop the top/stop contributions together will result in a term proportional to the mass splitting,$$\frac{d\mu^2}{d\ln\mu_R}\approx \frac{1}{(4\pi)^2}6y_t^2\frac{\mu^2}{m_t^2}\left(m_t^2-m_\tilde{t}^2\right).$$The fine-tuning argument now demands the RHS be $\lesssim (100\text{ GeV})^2$. Unless the stop is sufficiently light, $\mu^2(\mu_R)$ will run to very large values at large scales, creating a fine-tuning problem, or an unnatural theory. Now, note that if you identify the splitting with the cutoff scale $\Lambda^2$ (makes sense if $m_t\ll m_{\tilde{t}}\sim M_{SUSY}$) then the fine-tuning condition gives roughly$$\frac{1}{(4\pi)^2} y_t^2\Lambda^2 \lesssim (100\text{ GeV})^2,$$which looks just like a quadratic cutoff correction due to the top. That equation taken out of context suggests that the appearance of the stop is acting to cancel any larger quadratic loop divergences of the top. Such an interpretation gives the right naturalness bound but for the wrong reasons... the correction has nothing necessarily to do with a cutoff and everything to do with a strongly coupled heavy particle: the stop. Without the stop there is no problem! Renormalisation takes care of the divergent term.

      There is one extra point to be covered to wrap up this conversation about the standard model without gravity. The standard model is not asymptotically free and therefore a very high dynamical scale is generated. In particular, the one-loop RGE for the $U(1)_Y$ gauge coupling is positive, and at $\mu_R\sim 10^{40}\text{ GeV}$ it hits a Landau Pole, i.e. the coupling appears to $\to\infty$. So you might ask: does this introduce a dynamical scale which will correct $\mu^2$? Does it make an electroweak $\mu^2$ unnatural? The answer to this question is not obvious to me. Such a theory is clearly transitioning into a non-perturbative regime. I can't carry out a calculation here (nobody can). Certainly a hand-waving one-loop argument for contributions to $\mu^2$ no longer holds. Furthermore it is not even clear to me that the Higgs field is a sensible degree of freedom in such a regime. Anyway, the worry is moot, since the assumption of a flat spacetime at this scale is not even close to valid; one expects quantum gravitational states to come in at latest the Planck scale $M_{Pl}\sim 10^{19}\text{ GeV}$, so about that...

      So far we have argued that the standard model without gravity in flat spacetime suffers no obvious naturalness problem. Okay, but we have measured another fundamental mass scale in physics: $M_{Pl}\sim 10^{19}\text{ GeV}$. [Let it be clear that $M_{Pl}$ is only a dimensional argument; it is defined as $1/M_{Pl}^2 := G_{N}$, where $G_{N}$ is Newton's constant which enters Einstein's equations for general relativity]. Should we be worried?

      For the standard model with gravity, the argument I often see goes something like the following: because of gravity, the standard model is at best an effective theory up to $M_{Pl}$, at which point we know new physics must come in, making the cutoff at $\Lambda^2\sim M_{Pl}^2$ physical and thereby making large cancellations unnatural. The argument has at least three holes. (1) The appearance of an apparently large scale $M_{Pl}$ in an effective theory does not necessarily imply quantum states at a scale $M_{Pl}$ (see e.g. large extra dimensions). (2) Even if it did, we don't have a quantum theory of gravity, and so we can't calculate the corrections to $\mu^2$ to convince ourselves there is a definite problem. Even naively, the one-loop flat spacetime correction is sure to be altered in some way. (3) Perhaps the most important point: the existence of some large mass quantum states coupled to the standard model (and therefore a large and physical cutoff to the standard model) does not necessarily imply a naturalness problem.

      Let me illustrate in particular points (1) and (3) above with an example: neutrino masses. Suppose you are convinced that neutrino masses are Majorana and generated by an effective dimension 5 Weinberg operator $ l\phi l\phi/\Lambda$ after electroweak symmetry breaking, so that$$m_\nu = v^2/\Lambda,$$where $v\approx 174\text{ GeV}$ is the Higgs vev. You then measure $m_\nu\sim 0.05\text{ eV}$ in experiment, suggesting $\Lambda \sim 10^{15}\text{ GeV}$. So the dimensional argument has lead to an apparent hierarchy and you fear a naturalness problem. The argument then goes: if the effective Weinberg description of neutrino masses is true then it looks like the standard model is at best a good effective theory up to $10^{15}\text{ GeV}$, and you know the rest...

      But now let's look at a UV-complete model: the Type I see-saw. Add a heavy right-handed neutrino $N$ of mass $M_N$, with a Yukawa term $y\ l \phi N$, and integrate it out to match onto the Weinberg operator; you find $$1/\Lambda \equiv y^2/M_N.$$The correction to $\mu^2$ can be easily calculated as$$\frac{d\mu^2}{d\ln\mu_R} \sim -\frac{1}{(4\pi)^2}y^2 M_N^2 \sim -\frac{1}{(4\pi)^2} m_\nu M_N^3 / v^2.$$Plug in the numbers yourself and see that for $M_N\lesssim 10^7\text{ GeV}$ there is no large correction to $\mu^2$ (there's not even a large finite correction). How can this be? The reason is that as $M_N$ becomes smaller so does $y^2$, in order to reproduce the observed neutrino mass; both work together to lower the correction to $\mu^2$. For $M_N\sim 10^7\text{ GeV}$ you'll find $y \sim 10^{-4}$. One might get uncomfortable about a small coupling in the theory. However the limit $y\to 0$ increases the symmetry of the theory by decoupling $N$ (it also reinstates a $U(1)_L$ symmetry), and so corrections to $y$ can only be proportional to $y$ itself. [This is is called a technically natural limit, and it is the very reason that we do not worry about a naturalness problem for the standard model fermion masses].

      Anyway, I have just given an example where a dimensional argument makes you think that there is a very large scale $\sim 10^{15}\text{ GeV}$ in the theory, when a small coupling is just tricking you, and even the existence of a large scale $\sim 10^7\text{ GeV}$ in the renormalisable theory calculably does not introduce a naturalness problem, thanks again to a small coupling (which is technically natural). These observations alone, even without point (2) I made above, are enough to convince me that the standard model with gravity does not necessarily have a naturalness problem.

      So why do we often hear that it does? I am not positive, but I suspect that there are historical reasons for this. Grand unified models look so (subjectively) aesthetically pleasing that it is easy to want to believe in them. If you are set on a grand unified theory at $10^{15}\text{ GeV}$, then there are going to be strongly coupled heavy vector fields which correct $\mu^2$ in a calculable way,$$\frac{d\mu^2}{d\ln\mu_R} \sim \frac{1}{(4\pi)^2}g^2 M_{GUT}^2,$$
      or at two-loop. This necessarily leads to a naturalness problem (the "gauge hierarchy problem") unless you come up with some mechanism to cancel away these contributions. SUSY is a very nice mechanism for doing this (perhaps the nicest, but that is subjective) and as a bonus you also protect yourself from $M_{Pl}$ and anything else up there! But if you introduce it you have to have it come in at around the TeV scale, otherwise the new strongly coupled heavy particles (e.g. the stops) will create their own naturalness problem anyway...

      And so we wait for LHC Run II to reconnect us with experiment and perhaps shed some light...

      Friday, 29 May 2015

      Friday wrap-up: B to D*τν, ULO...

      Wherein I list some (mostly) recent happenings, ramble a bit, and provide links, in an order roughly determined by importance and relevance to particle physics. Views are my own. Content very definitely skewed by my own leanings and by papers getting coverage, and it may not even be correct. It is a blog after all...

      Very busy at Planck 2015 this week, so will keep this short and sweet -- just the headlines.

      • This week LHCb and Belle have weighed in on $R(D^*) = Br(B\to D^*\tau\nu)/Br(B\to D^*\mu\nu)$ at the Flavor Physics and CP violation conference in Nagoya. Intriguingly, both measurements have observed a higher $R$ than the SM predicts -- the same effect seen in the previous B-factory analyses. Taken alone they are not much, but together probably quite significant. Add this to the growing pile of flavour anomalies...

      • There is talk of a ULO (unidentified lying object) in the beampipe at the LHC, already causing some beam failures. In the mean time the beam has been directed around it. We will see if this has any effect on the schedule. At the moment we are expecting more 13 TeV collisions in June, and physics in earnest from July.

      Friday, 6 February 2015

      Friday wrap-up: Planck, Higgs to tau-tau, razors, top mass...

      Wherein I list some (mostly) recent happenings, ramble a bit, and provide links, in an order roughly determined by importance and relevance to particle physics.
      • Obvious big news item of the week is the release of the Joint Analysis of BICEP2/Keck Array and Planck Data (also on arXiv now), which derives an upper limit on the tensor-to-scalar ratio r<0.12 at 95% C.L., perfectly consistent with r=0. So, no evidence for primordial gravitational waves (yet). This is somewhat different from the original BICEP2 result r=0.20+0.07-0.05 with r=0 disfavoured at 7.0σ (lest we forget the YouTube reveal). That paper (from March last year) can be found on the arXiv. It is less than a year old with already almost 1000 citations! (And nature has a rundown on that). The important caveat can be found at the end of the abstract, emphasised after peer review and acceptance by Physical Review Letters: "Accounting for the contribution of foreground dust will shift this value downward by an amount which will be better constrained with upcoming data sets." Well, now we know that amount...

        Of course, this basic conclusion has been known for a while. Rumours began to circulate by May that the effect of polarised emission from the galactic dust foreground was problematic, that it was estimated (and misinterpreted) from preliminary figure in a slide shown at a conference. That month a couple of papers appeared on the arXiv arguing the point. Nevertheless the BICEP2 paper was accepted in June with the added caveat I mentioned above.
        In September Planck
        released their study of the polarised dust emission, showing that the effect of dust was likely of the same order of magnitude as the effect measured by BICEP2. There are some very good blog entries on this, see Sean Carroll, Katie Mack, In The Dark, Blank On The Map, Excursionset, Resonaances, etc. The plot below was enough to convince mostly everyone that the dust could account for all of the signal; it shows the "amount of B-mode polarisation" versus multipole moment, with blue the expected dust component and black the best fit theoretical prediction from gravitational waves claimed by BICEP2.

                             planck-bmode-spectrum

        The book was almost shut, but Planck reminded us that this was an extrapolation from a high frequency region to the lower frequency which BICEP2 observed. We were told to be patient physicists until the joint analysis was complete. The release was pushed back and back, but now here we are... primordial gravitational waves at r=0.2 are dead. So it goes.

        The upshot is that we do have gravitational lensing modes at 7.0σ! But wait, that number is familiar... Also, the following image was released which is just stunning and certainly worth a stare. The colour scale is for dust emission, and the texture is the orientation of the Galactic magnetic field. Outlined region is the BICEP2 patch.

                               

        So what's next? Resonaances has a blog about that. Any non-zero measurement of r in the future will still be big news, and there are many experiments which will soon be sensitive to r~0.01. Certainly we could still see a primordial gravitational wave signal in the coming few years. Once again, we must sit and be patient physicists...
      • Today was the 2015 release of Planck full mission data products and scientific papers. The press release is here. The result they are spinning is that Planck measures the beginning of reionisation at 560 million years after the big bang, significantly later than the WMAP measurement of 420 million years. This is more consistent with observations from Hubble of the earliest galaxies (300-400 million years); now there's enough time for these structures alone to inject the energy needed to end the dark ages. I'm sure we will hear more about all their results in the coming week(s).

        They also released the full map in hi-res of the polarised emission from Milky Way dust, reminiscent of Van Gogh:

      • I missed this last week but ATLAS has released evidence for the Higgs-boson Yukawa coupling to tau leptons (actually there were quite a few releases, which is just the wrapping up of the remaining Run-I analyses). They measure a signal strength μ=1.43+0.43−0.37, and an excess of events over the expected background from other Standard Model processes with an observed (expected) significance of 4.5 (3.4) standard deviations. So they got somewhat lucky. Here's the plot:


        CoEPP has been involved in some of this analysis and I have seen a few talks on it in the past. I am always amazed, when I see the histograms before the BDT (and even after the BDT in each channel) that they are able to dig out this signal at all. Just look at this histogram of an important BDT input variable from one of the better channels, τlep+τhad:


        Doesn't look too bad, until you see that the signal histogram is presented 50x larger than it really is, just so you can see it. Obviously the experimentalists have plenty of tricks up their sleeves which are especially powerful when you know exactly what you're looking for. It's a remarkable analysis. And to be honest, if we required a local p-value of 5σ to "discover" the Higgs, when we didn't know its mass, then h→ττ with a significance of 4.5σ, when we know exactly where it should be... that's discovery in my book.
      • DZERO submitted the more detailed documentation on their top mass measurement originally published as a letter back in May. Their measurement is 174.98±0.76 GeV. They say in the abstract, "This constitutes the most precise single measurement of the top-quark mass," but that is no longer true. As far as I am aware that honour goes to CMS, with a measurement of 172.38±0.10(stat)±0.65(syst) GeV. (Evidently the LHC has a lot of top statistics!) Read more about that at Tommaso's blog post from four months ago. The Tevatron continues to pull the world average measurement up.

      • CMS released a new preprint: Search for supersymmetry using razor variables in events with b-tagged jets in pp collisions at √s = 8 TeV. The search constrains gluinos and stops.

        It is cool to see these razor variables in action! They're a very nice method for isolating new physics signals with pair-produced particles each decaying to visible+invisible. Other variables (which may be more familiar) are MT2, MCT and MCT⊥. (ATLAS used MT2 for their top squark search). The difficulty for such searches is how to deal with the fact that, in an event, we cannot know the momentum vectors of the invisible particles individually, but only reconstruct the total missing transverse momentum vector. So the general idea has been to construct kinematic variables which are an approximation of the mass scale of the underlying event, and which have a kinematic end-point (a maximum possible value) defined by the masses of the particles involved. The endpoint is exact at the parton truth-level but ends up being smeared by showering and detector effects. Above some e.g. MT2_{cut} there are expected to be very few SM events; usually MT2_{cut} ≈ m_W or m_t. Signal events will accumulate beyond MT2_{cut} since new physics is expected to have larger masses. Thus these variables are a very nice way to eliminate SM background in these kind of searches, applicable for R-parity conserving SUSY models with neutralino dark matter candidates, and leptoquarks.

        But they are not perfect. A problem with MCT for example is that the kinematic endpoint actually depends on the centre-of-mass of the pair-produced particle system. (This was eliminated with MCT⊥). Also, a lot of events end up piled at ~0 for both MCT and MT2. The razor approach avoids this problem by boosting from lab-frame to the particle-pair centre-of-mass frame with a "best guess" boost, and constructing a kinematic variable there. In general it performs at least as good as MCT⊥ and MT2 (see below).

        And they now have a successor: super-razor variables. Super-razor variables are designed to increase sensitivity in searches for specific decay topologies. To construct these variables one iteratively boosts from reference frame to reference frame with "best guesses", and at each stage you get some information about the masses (and mass splittings) involved. For example, in dislepton production where each slepton decays to a lepton and neutralino, there are three interesting frames to boost to. One advantage of this approach is that, along the way, you reconstruct some extra information such as decay angles which you can then use to help discriminate your signal. Click and look at the figure below to see its power...

                         

        I am not aware of any ATLAS/CMS search which has employed the super-razor variables yet, but I look forward to seeing it in Run-II.
      • My supervisors and I have a letter paper out on the arXiv today. It is a short analysis of naturalness in the three-flavour Type I see-saw model, with the following take-home message: standard hierarchical thermal leptogenesis is unnatural, and there's no way out in the minimal model. I will write a short post about it next week some time.
      • According to a new arXiv preprint, there is no indirect dark matter signal from the Large Magellanic Cloud. The following figure tells the tale:

                                   

        The investigators expected to begin to probe the areas (see the brazil lines) of parameter space interesting for the galactic centre excess (four marked areas), but they aren't quite there yet. Matthew Buckley (one of the investigators) has some tweets about it (reading upwards, beginning Feb 5).

        [Edit 16/02: I read this paper in a little more detail last week. It is the first indirect dark matter search in the LMC, certainly worth doing as it is potentially the second brightest (after the galactic centre) annihilation source in our sky. However unlike dwarf galaxies there is a lot of baryonic matter to contend with; the authors use a data-driven method to model this. They end up seeing a broad excess which is consistent within systematic limitations of the background model (they stress this point, so it is not taken as further evidence for the Hooperon!). It should be noted that the above plot (their Fig. 22) is conservative in terms of the statistical analysis and choice of LMC centre, but it is optimistic in the halo profile. Assuming an NFW or Isothermal (cored) profile weakens these limits by an order of magnitude (see their Figs. 17 and 18). The analysis appears to be difficult yet worth attempting, unfortunately it cannot compete with the limit from dwarf galaxies, especially after Fermi Pass 8.]
      • Could the missing satellite problem be solved with just dark energy? This paper on the arXiv suggests the possibility, and new scientist ran a story. This is surprising, since I would have thought that this is already taken into account in simulations? What am I missing?
      • James D. "BJ" Bjorken was one of the two winners of the Wolf Prize in Physics this year. It is known as somewhat of a predictor for the Nobel. (Brout, Englert and Higgs were recipients in 2004). You can read about it at the official site, and also at Tomasso's blog. The former writes, "in retrospective, Bjorken's scaling not only led to the discovery of quarks, but also pointed the direction toward the mathematical framework governing all fundamental interactions." 
      • On Wednesday, Roman prosecutors closed the case on the disappearance Ettore Majorana. Majorana, who disappeared at sea in 1938 at 32 years of age, is now believed to have been alive and well, living in Valencia, Venezuela, between 1955-59.
      • I only just read that as of January 1, Physical Review journals and Physical Review Letters will allow article titles in the reference list. Huge.
      • Jester noted that the Symposium on Lepton Photon Interactions resembles a vomiting dragon. I'll let you to make up your own mind...

      • The Crayfis app for detecting ultra-high energy cosmic rays using a network of smartphones is already in beta testing. Read more about it from Kyle Cranmer in a blog post, or see the original paper from October last year.
      • On Monday, NASA released its fiscal year 2016 budget request. 
        • The exciting news: there is a request for $30mil to begin planning a mission to Europa! Bad Astronomy claims that the request has a decent shot, too, since it has a champion in Congress. Looks like this has been in the works for a while, JPL released somewhat of a promotional video for such a mission back in November. 
        • The sad news: the budget also suggests that there may be plans to cease Mars rover Opportunity operations. Meanwhile NASA JPL released a YouTube video celebrating 11 Years of Opportunity on Mars (the images of clouds at 0:46 really got me). Why stop now!
      • NASA has successfully launched the SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) satellite observatory, which will gather three years of data on global soil moisture levels via a very cool-looking 6m rotating reflector. You can read about it at space.com or at NASA, and watch the launch here. It is the last of five Earth-observing space missions to be launched in the past year by NASA (including: Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2, Global Precipitation Measurement Core Observatory, ISS-RapidScat, and Cloud-Aerosol Transport mission). 
      • The US (Republican-led) Senate on 21 July passed an amendment to a bill 98-1 which stated: "It is the sense of the Senate that climate change is real and not a hoax." However they rejected, 50-49 with a requirement for 60, the stronger amendment: "It is the sense of Congress that 1) climate change is real, and 2) human activity significantly contributes to climate change." Senator Inhofe, who once claimed that global warming was "the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people" claimed: "The hoax is that there are some people who are so arrogant to think that they are so powerful they can change climate. Man can't change climate." I'll leave that alone...
      • "Computational Linguistics Reveals How Wikipedia Articles Are Biased Against Women", as an article here or on the arXiv.
      • Last but certainly not least, here is some old news that I only recently discovered... an arXiv paper on predicting the length of winter in the world of Westeros. From the abstract: Thus, by speculating that the planet under scrutiny is orbiting a pair of stars, we utilize the power of numerical three-body dynamics to predict that, unfortunately, it is not possible to predict either the length, or the severity of any coming winter. We conclude that, alas, the Maesters were right -- one can only throw their hands in the air in frustration and, defeated by non-analytic solutions, mumble "Coming winter? May be long and nasty (~850 days, T<268K) or may be short and sweet (~600 days, T~273K). Who knows..."